Xi Jinping's Military Control Crisis: Zhang Youxia and Taiwan Invasion Plans

Xi Jinping's Legal Predicament

• ⚠️ The emergency National People's Congress (NPC) meeting on February 4th failed to revoke the delegate status of Zhang Youxia and Liu Jianli, indicating Xi Jinping's inability to legalize their arrests.
• 🔍 This failure suggests Xi is losing legal control over the military, as procedural fixes for the arrests have not been successful.
• 💡 Despite reported downfalls, Zhang Youxia and Liu Jianli remain formal members of the Central Military Commission (CMC), making their removal difficult for Xi without violating collective leadership principles.

Zhang Youxia's Leverage & Xi Family Allegations

• 🏠 Zhang Youxia is reportedly under comfortable house arrest in Shenzhen, accompanied by his son and secretary, suggesting a "soft landing" rather than a harsh purge.
• 🔑 Speculation suggests Zhang possesses "black materials" on the Xi family, which he may be using as leverage in a "mutual destruction gambit."
• 💰 Explosive disclosures about Xi's elder sister, Chao Xiao's, alleged vast wealth (e.g., 20 trillion yuan in assets) emerged after Zhang's detention, potentially forcing Xi to negotiate.

Barometers of the Power Struggle

• ⚖️ The unresolved case of Ma Xingrui, a core member of Xi's inner circle, who has been out of public view for over three months, indicates an unsettled political situation.
• 🛡️ Chen Yuan's appointment as Beijing garrison commander shortly before Zhang Youxia's detention is seen as a calculated move by Xi, despite past controversies linking Chen to Li Keqiang's death.
• 🚨 The precarious positions of Cai Qi and Wang Xiaohong, facing rumors of downfall and backlash from the "red second generation," highlight the strength of anti-Xi forces.

Impact on Taiwan Invasion Plans

• ⚔️ Zhang Youxia's predicament has delivered a heavy blow to the CCP's existing operational plans for Taiwan, severing continuity across personnel and execution.
• ⏳ A complete rebuild of the Taiwan invasion plan is now required, which insiders estimate could take at least seven to ten years due to the need for tight secrecy.
• ❓ The speaker questions the point of Xi continually elevating the Taiwan issue given the severe internal power struggles and the lengthy timeline for new plans.

The Future of China's Leadership

• 💡 Historical experience suggests that those who end old systems are typically outsiders who control key execution points and dare to make decisive choices.
• 🧠 Such individuals prioritize character over resume, often not holding the very top position but capable of non-cooperation at crucial moments.
• 🇨🇳 China stands at a historic crossroads amid fierce internal power struggles, with the ultimate winner in Zhongnanhai's battle yet to be determined.