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Viking Therapeutics Stock: Analyst Bullish Despite Market Reaction

CNBC TelevisionSeptember 7, 20253 min3,378 views
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Viking Therapeutics Data Analysis

  • πŸ’‘ Justin Zelin from BTIG believes the market's reaction to Viking Therapeutics' data is overdone.
  • 🎯 Viking's data is considered comparable to, or even better than, that of Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly.
  • πŸš€ The accelerated dose escalation schema in the trial led to tolerability issues, but the company plans to move to a less aggressive dosing schema.

Competitive Landscape and Market Share

  • πŸ“ˆ In the oral obesity class, Viking's data appears competitive and potentially class-leading.
  • πŸ”‘ A compelling aspect of the data was the maintenance dose at 90 mg, showing continued weight loss at 13 weeks after dose reduction.
  • πŸ’° This maintenance dose presents a strong commercial argument and supports cost of goods scalability for manufacturing.

Tolerability and Trial Dropouts

  • ⚠️ Tolerability issues were mostly front-ended, mild to moderate, and resolved by the third week for most patients.
  • πŸ“‰ A 28% dropout rate in the first 3 months is attributed to higher grades of GI events, which is not unexpected for this drug class.
  • ❓ The company has not yet selected its go-forward dose for Phase 3 trials, leaving flexibility for future decisions.

Analyst Outlook

  • 🌟 Zelin maintains a buy rating on Viking Therapeutics with a $125 price target.
  • πŸ’¬ He argues that investors are underappreciating the positive aspects of the presented data.
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What’s Discussed

Viking TherapeuticsBiotech AnalystBTIGNovo NordiskEli LillyGLP-1Obesity ClassDosing SchemaTolerability ProfileMaintenance DoseCost of GoodsManufacturing ScalabilityGI EventsPhase 3 TrialsPrice Target
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