Ukraine Peace Deal: Trump's Thanksgiving Deadline Unlikely to Be Met, Experts Say

Trump's Thanksgiving Deadline

• 🎯 Donald Trump's stated goal of signing a Ukraine peace deal by Thanksgiving is unlikely to be met, with the deadline expected to pass without an agreement.
• ⏳ Trump's attention on the Ukraine war is predicted to wane once his Thanksgiving deadline is missed.

Russian Ploy and Alternative Proposals

• 🇷🇺 A proposed peace deal, largely derived from Russian language and sentiment, is identified as a Russian ploy to divide the US from Europe.
• 🤝 Britain, France, and Germany have developed an alternative set of proposals, which appear to be closer to what the US and Ukraine have discussed.
• 🇪🇺 Despite the shift in global power, the UK, France, and Germany have demonstrated effective diplomatic footwork in influencing the peace process.

Progress and Obstacles in Peace Talks

• 📈 Substantial progress has been made in peace talks, with a foundational document socialized and refined over months.
• 🇺🇦 The Ukrainians and Europeans have improved the peace plan, making it likely unacceptable to Russia.
• ⏳ While significant progress has been achieved, more time is needed to finalize an agreement, with the current open issues deemed not insurmountable.
• 🤝 The US and Ukraine have made progress on key issues, including Ukraine's security and future NATO membership, but these still need to be agreed upon by the presidents and potentially discussed with European national security advisors.

Public Support and War Outlook

• 📊 Public support in the UK for backing Ukraine remains steady and high, with people understanding the link between Ukraine's security and their own.
• 🗓️ Experts suggest the war is likely to continue for at least another year.
• 🕊️ The ultimate goal is to end the war as soon as possible to prevent further loss of life and destruction, but a little more time is needed for provisions.