Trump's Polls Surge After LA Riots, New Data Shows

Polling Surge for Trump

• 📈 Mark Mitchell of Rasmussen reports Trump's national approval has surged to 56% following the LA riots and his deployment of the National Guard.
• 📊 Rasmussen's overnight polls show Trump consistently at 53-56% approval in the last four nights.
• 💡 This surge is occurring despite widespread riots, which are characterized as artificial or "astroturf" by the speaker.

Public Opinion on Key Issues

• ✅ 59% of voters support Trump's deployment of National Guard troops, according to Insider Advantage polling.
• ⚖️ RMG polling indicates 58% support for the Trump administration's efforts to deport illegal migrants.
• 🚀 Right track numbers for the nation are up, with a majority of Americans now believing the country is on the right track, a significant shift after decades of negative sentiment.

Youth Optimism and Riots

• 👶 Voters under 30 are reportedly very optimistic about the country's direction, a trend that is unusual alongside widespread riots.
• 🎭 The speaker suggests these riots are fueled by far-left groups and lack "cultural traction", contrasting them with the Black Lives Matter movement's impact in 2020.
• 📉 Companies are not showing the same level of support for these current movements as they did for BLM.

Predictive Indicators for Midterms

• 🗳️ Presidential approval ratings and "right track/wrong track" numbers are identified as the two most predictive indicators for midterm elections.
• 📉 Trump is reportedly performing exceptionally well in both these metrics, suggesting a potential loss for Democrats in the midterms.
• ⚖️ Astroturfed riots are seen as a significant gift to Trump and Republicans, potentially leading to a focus on "lawlessness" that could sway voters.

California's Political Shift

• 🌊 California has moved 10 points to the right since the last LA riots in 2020, with Trump winning over 40% of the vote in 2024.
• 🗺️ Several counties in California that were blue in 2020 have flipped to red.
• 📚 A Princeton study is cited, suggesting that riots consistently turn populations to the political right, a phenomenon observed historically and corroborated by left-leaning sources like The New Yorker.
• 💥 The study indicates that counties closest to riot locations experience declines in Democrat vote shares, leading to a "regressive backlash" and a shift towards the right.