Tropics Outlook: Tracking Two Disturbances for Potential Hurricane Development

Atlantic Disturbances Update

• ⚠️ Two disturbances are currently being tracked in the Atlantic basin as hurricane season peaks.
• 💡 One disturbance in the central Atlantic has a 20% chance of development within 7 days.
• 📈 A second wave, recently emerged off the coast of Africa, has increased to a 50% chance of development within 7 days.

Steering Currents and Potential Tracks

• 🗺️ Current steering currents are influenced by two high-pressure systems.
• 💨 The mid-Atlantic system is expected to be pulled north by weaknesses in the highs and likely fizzle out, not impacting the US.
• 🌊 The newest disturbance off Africa is predicted to take a more southerly track, south of the highs, and will be a system to watch next week due to warmer waters.

Caribbean and Peak Hurricane Season

• 🏝️ Computer models (GFS and European) suggest the system could edge closer to the Caribbean.
• 🗓️ This is particularly important as the peak of hurricane season, September 10th, approaches.
• 🚀 Tropical activity is expected to ramp up in the coming month.

Next Storm Name and Resources

• 🌀 If another storm forms, the next name on the list will be Aaron.
• 💻 For the latest weather information and tropics updates, access ku.com and the KSU 11 app.