Tropical Weather Update: July 18, 2025 - Quiet Tropics Amidst Shifting Moisture Patterns

Invest 93 Dissipates, Moisture Shifts North

• 🌧️ Invest 93 is no longer classified as a disturbance by the hurricane center, but its associated rain is moving through western and southwestern Louisiana into Texas.
• ⚠️ While not expected for tropical development, this moisture will bring heavy rain to parts of Texas over the next 24-36 hours, with a slight potential for excessive rain.

Florida's Quiet Weekend Forecast

• ☀️ Florida is expected to have a quiet weekend due to a ridge of high pressure building in, bringing drier air.
• 📉 Rain chances in Florida will drop to about 20% over the weekend.

Atlantic and Caribbean Outlook

• 💨 The Gulf of Mexico has very strong wind shear, making it unconducive for tropical development.
• 🌊 While there is some wind shear in the Caribbean, the broader Atlantic shows lighter winds and no significant tropical waves, indicating quiet conditions for now.

Future Moisture Pattern

• 🔄 The moisture currently moving north is expected to ride up and around the high-pressure ridge, eventually moving back into the Atlantic and potentially returning over Florida next week.
• 🔁 This means that after a quiet weekend, Florida could see rain from this same system again as it circles back.