Tropical Weather Update: Atlantic & East Pacific Activity - June 22, 2025

Atlantic Basin Activity

• ⚠️ An area of interest has emerged in the Atlantic Basin, located south-southeast of Bermuda.
• 📉 Development odds are very low, with only a 10% chance for slow development over the next two days and seven days due to strong wind shear.
• 💨 This area is expected to encounter increased wind shear, making significant storm formation unlikely.

Saharan Dust and Water Temperatures

• 💨 Dense Saharan dust is a major story, making its way into the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico.
• 🌡️ Water temperatures are significantly above average, with Clear Water Beach reaching 87 degrees Fahrenheit (5 degrees above normal for June).
• 📈 Warmer water temperatures are contributing to the forecast for an above-normal hurricane season.

East Pacific Activity

• 🌊 The East Pacific remains active, with an area of disorganized thunderstorms south of Mexico and Central America.
• 📈 There is a 70% chance for development in this region over the next week.

Hurricane Season Outlook

• 🗓️ Despite a slow start with no named storms by the average date, the Atlantic basin is still forecast to have an above-normal hurricane season with 60% odds.
• 📊 Meteorologists are closely monitoring both the Atlantic and East Pacific for any developing tropical systems.