Tropical Update: Atlantic Hurricane Season Quiet Start, Eastern Pacific Active

Atlantic Hurricane Season Overview

• 🌀 The Atlantic hurricane season is in its second week with a quiet start, having seen no storm development so far.
• 🗓️ Historically, June's development typically occurs in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean due to late-season fronts and the Central American Gyre.

Historical Hurricane Landfalls

• 📊 Over the last 125 years (since 1900), there have been only 12 landfalling hurricanes in the United States.
• 📍 A notable pattern shows clustering in the western Gulf of Mexico, with eight landfalls compared to four in the eastern Gulf.
• ⚠️ The last June hurricane landfall in the US was Hurricane Bonnie in 1986, impacting southeast Texas.

Eastern Pacific Activity

• 🌊 The Eastern Pacific is currently active with two named systems, Cosme and Barbara, and two additional areas to watch.
• ⚡ This activity may indirectly benefit the Atlantic by creating wind shear.

Factors Limiting Atlantic Development

• 💨 Wind shear generated by storms in the Eastern Pacific can be pulled into the western tropical Atlantic, hindering development.
• 🏜️ In the eastern Atlantic, Saharan dust blowing off the African continent is a significant limiting factor for tropical development in June.
• ⚠️ Both wind shear from the Pacific and dust from the Sahara are expected to suppress development through the second and third weeks of the season.

Outlook for Later Season

• ⚠️ A quiet start to the hurricane season does not predict an inactive active period.
• 📈 The more typical active months for the Atlantic hurricane season are July, August, and September.
• 🏠 Residents are advised to stay prepared and monitor forecasts as the season progresses.