Tropical System Development in the Gulf: Rain Chances Increase for Houston

Tropical System in the Southern Gulf

• 🎯 A system in the southern Gulf of Mexico has seen its chance of development increase to 40% within 7 days, a significant jump from earlier predictions.
• 📈 The system is showing better organization and is moving quickly, with models indicating it will likely track just south of the US-Mexico border.

Impact on Houston Area

• ⚠️ A blocking high-pressure system over Texas is expected to keep the tropical system further south, impacting deep South Texas and northern Mexico.
• 🌧️ Despite the southerly track, the system will bring tropical moisture to the Houston area, increasing rain chances for Friday and Saturday.
• ⚡ Scattered showers and storms are anticipated, with potential for isolated flooding on roadways, lasting into Saturday.

Tropical Storm Aaron Update

• 🌀 Tropical Storm Aaron is forecast to become a major hurricane (Category 3) as it nears north of San Juan.
• 🌊 Models suggest Aaron will remain offshore the east coast of the US, but will bring high surf and rip currents to the region.