Tropical Storm Jerry Forms: Track, Intensity, and Bermuda Forecast

Tropical Storm Jerry Forms

• 🌀 Tropical Storm Jerry has formed in the Atlantic, evolving from the previously tracked Invest 95.
• ⚡ Current winds are at 45 miles per hour, with the storm moving west at 24 miles an hour.

Storm Intensity and Track

• 📈 The system is expected to strengthen and become a hurricane by tomorrow afternoon or evening.
• ⚠️ Current model projections suggest it will remain around a Category 1 hurricane.
• 🧭 The storm is forecast to make a turn towards the north as it progresses.

Bermuda and US Coastline

• 📍 Bermuda is a key location to watch as the storm's track could bring it very close to or directly over the island over the weekend.
• 🛡️ The US coastline is not expected to be impacted, with a developing nor'easter along the east coast providing protection and steering the storm northward.

Other Areas of Interest

• ⚠️ An additional area of low pressure is moving over the Yucatan into the Bay of Campeche, but has only a 10% chance of development.
• 🗺️ If development occurs, this system is not heading towards the US and would likely move over Mexico.

AI Model Performance

• 🤖 The Google AI model has shown good performance this season, accurately predicting the track of a previous storm (Alda).
• 📊 Current AI model consensus for Jerry aligns with other models, though some show a slightly more southerly track initially, impacting the northern Leeward Islands.