Tropical Storm Gabrielle Update: Tracking Storms and Seasonal Activity

Tropical Storm Gabrielle Update

• 🌀 Tropical Storm Gabrielle is currently located in the open Atlantic and is not a threat to the United States or East Coast.
• ⚠️ Gabrielle is forecast to eventually become a Category 2 storm by Sunday night or Monday, but will miss Bermuda and the Azores.

Atlantic Hurricane Season Activity

• 📊 The Atlantic hurricane season is currently 30% below normal in terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index.
• 📈 Despite being behind schedule, the season statistically remains in its busy period, with the second half yet to come.
• 🌊 There is plenty of warm water across the basin, which is conducive to tropical system formation.

Developing Tropical Waves

• 🌍 A new tropical wave has emerged off the west coast of Africa with a 20% chance of development in the open Atlantic.
• 💨 This wave is bringing dust with it, which acts as a layer of sinking air and dry air, hindering tropical system development.
• 🚫 Currently, there is nothing forecast for the Caribbean or the Gulf of Mexico.

Weather Outlook for the Weekend

• 🌦️ Rain chances are increasing over the weekend, with a 30% chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms on Saturday.
• ⛈️ Sunday is expected to have a 60% chance of thunderstorms, with elevated rain chances continuing into the following week.
• 💨 A weak front approaching from the northwest may bring slightly lower humidity by the end of next week.