Tropical Depression 2 Forms in Gulf, Expected to Become Tropical Storm Barry

Formation of Tropical Depression 2

• 🌀 Tropical Depression 2 has officially formed in the southern Gulf of Mexico, upgraded from a disturbance with a 70% chance of development.
• ✈️ Hurricane hunters confirmed a small but organized circulation at the surface, leading to its classification as TD number two of the 2025 Atlantic season.
• 📈 The system is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm, likely to be named Barry, before making landfall.

Forecasted Track and Landfall

• 🗺️ The current forecast track indicates the system will move west-northwest and make landfall near Tampico, Mexico, on Sunday night into early Monday morning.
• 💨 Sustained winds are expected to reach 40 mph by Sunday afternoon, potentially strengthening to 40-60 mph tropical storm strength at landfall.
• ⛰️ After landfall, the system is expected to move into the mountainous regions of central Mexico, where it poses a significant flash flooding threat.

Factors Influencing Development

• 🌡️ Warm sea surface temperatures in the Gulf, around 85-87 degrees Fahrenheit, are favorable for tropical development.
• 🌬️ The system is developing under a ridge of high pressure in the upper atmosphere, which provides calm conditions and allows for development, unlike areas with strong wind shear.
• 🌊 This favorable environment has allowed the disturbance to organize and become a tropical depression, with potential to become a tropical storm.

Impacts on the Texas and Louisiana Coast

• 🌧️ While the storm is making landfall in Mexico, its broad counterclockwise rotation will sling moisture into the Texas and Louisiana coast.
• ⚡ Enhanced rain chances are expected across the region on Sunday, with potential for heavy downpours and thunderstorms.
• ⚠️ A weather impact alert is in place for Sunday between 11:00 a.m. and 5:00 p.m. due to the risk of street flooding from intense rainfall rates.

Rain and Flooding Potential

• ⛈️ Some areas could experience 2-4 inches of rain in 45 minutes to an hour, potentially overwhelming primary drainage systems.
• 🚗 Street flooding is a significant threat, similar to past events where heavy downpours caused localized flooding and traffic disruptions.
• 📱 Residents are advised to download the KHOU11 app for notifications on warnings and live updates regarding the tropical system.