Timeline of Flood Watches and Warnings in Central Texas

Pre-Event Forecasts and Watches

• 🗓️ From Tuesday to Thursday morning, the National Weather Service (NWS) in San Antonio and Austin mentioned the potential for heavy rain and flooding.
• ⚠️ On Thursday afternoon at 1:18 PM, a flood watch was issued, anticipating up to 7 inches of rain and river flooding, including Kerr County.

Escalating Concerns and Special Discussions

• 🔍 By Thursday evening at 6:10 PM, a special discussion highlighted concerning trends, indicating likely flash flooding with rainfall rates exceeding 3 inches per hour.

Flash Flood Warnings and Emergencies

• 🚨 At 1:06 AM on Friday, the first flash flood warning for Kerr County was issued with a "considerable" tag, potentially triggering wireless emergency alerts.
• 💬 At 2:28 AM, the NWS communicated that up to 5 inches of rain had fallen and flash flooding had likely begun in Kerr County.
• ⚠️ A dangerous flash flood event was unfolding in South Central Kerr County by 3:02 AM Friday.
• 🚨 At 4:03 AM, a flash flood emergency was issued for Kerr County, a rare designation indicating that flash flooding could turn deadly.

River Flood Stage and Crest

• 🌊 By 4:20 AM on Friday, the Guadalupe River near Camp Mystic reached major flood stage at 22 feet.
• 📈 The river crested at 29.45 feet around 4:35 AM Friday.