Texas Weather Forecast: October 15, 2025 - Cold Front, Rain Chances, and Air Quality Alerts

Dallas Metroplex Weather Outlook

• ☀️ Today in Dallas, expect sunny skies with temperatures in the upper 70s, feeling pleasant.
• 💨 A cold front is confirmed to move through, but current data suggests low rain chances for the Metroplex, with any precipitation likely falling further east.
• 📈 Temperatures are expected to remain warm, in the mid to upper 80s, before dropping to the upper 70s on Sunday after the front passes.

Houston and Southeast Texas Forecast

• 🌡️ Houston is experiencing a pleasant and warm day, with temperatures in the low 80s, but humidity is expected to return by Thursday and Friday.
• 🔥 A high fire weather risk (level 3 out of 5) is in effect for much of Southeast Texas due to dry conditions, with several counties already under burn bans.
• 🌧️ Scattered rain chances are possible by Friday and into the weekend as a cold front approaches, though widespread storms are not anticipated.

Central Texas and Beyond

• 🌦️ Austin and San Antonio will see sunny and warm conditions today, with highs in the low 80s.
• 💨 A weak cold front is expected to move through by Sunday, bringing slightly cooler temperatures and more comfortable mornings.
• ⚠️ An air quality alert has been issued for Bear County and surrounding areas due to high ozone levels, driven by calm winds and hot air.

Extended Outlook and Tropical Systems

• 📈 The 14-day forecast for Texas indicates above-normal temperatures are likely to persist through the end of October.
• 🌀 Tropical Storm Lorenzo is currently moving northeast over open water and is not expected to pose a threat to land.
• ⚠️ There is a possibility of tropical development in the Caribbean later in October, though it is too early to determine any potential impact.

Drought Conditions and Rainfall

• 💧 Rainfall trackers show minimal expected precipitation across Texas in the coming days, with some areas not receiving any measurable rain.
• 📉 Drought conditions are expected to worsen in Central Texas due to the lack of substantial rainfall.
• 🌡️ Halloween is expected to be warm, with forecasts suggesting temperatures in the lower 80s, continuing a trend of above-normal heat for October.