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Saturday Morning Forecast: Heat Dome, Hurricane Season Outlook, and Coastal Conditions

FOX 13 Tampa BayMay 17, 20253 min3,289 views
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Weekend Heat Dome and Above-Average Temperatures

  • ☀️ A heat dome is building in, bringing early season heat and high humidity for the next several days.
  • 🌡️ Temperatures are expected to be above average, potentially reaching record territory.
  • 📈 Feels like temperatures will push into the mid-90s for many areas, with inland locations experiencing triple-digit feels like temperatures.

Hurricane Season Outlook

  • 🌀 The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins in two weeks, with no tropical cyclones expected in the next seven days.
  • 🌊 While the Pacific hurricane season is underway, the Atlantic basin currently shows less sea surface heat content compared to last year.
  • 📊 The forecast indicates a shift from a La Niña setup to an ENSO neutral phase, suggesting an active hurricane season but with initial forecasts not as high as last season.
  • 🌡️ Water temperatures in the Caribbean are warming into the mid-80s, with coastal Florida waters around 81-82 degrees, closer to June averages.

Weather Conditions and Coastal Outlook

  • 🚫 Expect rain-free conditions for the weekend and much of the upcoming week, with only a 20-30% chance of spotty showers by next Thursday.
  • 💨 Winds will be generally calm, coming from the southwest at around 5 mph, increasing to 10-15 mph along the coast in the afternoon and evening.
  • 🏖️ An onshore wind will provide more comfortable conditions for beach areas and coastal regions.
  • 🌊 Seas will be 1-2 feet or less, with southwest winds of 5-10 knots, making for nice conditions on the water and beaches.
  • ☁️ High pressure will remain overhead, bringing passing clouds but preventing storms from reaching Florida.

Drought Monitor and Temperature Trends

  • ✅ Recent rainfall has provided some improvement to the drought monitor.
  • 🌡️ Today's high temperatures will be in the low 90s inland and upper 80s near the coast.
  • 🌙 Overnight temperatures will be in the mid-70s, with some areas starting Sunday morning in the upper 60s.
  • 📈 Temperatures are expected to remain in the 90s for most of the upcoming week.
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What’s Discussed

Saturday ForecastHeat DomeHurricane SeasonTropical CyclonesSea Surface TemperatureENSO Neutral PhaseLa NiñaCoastal ConditionsRainfallDrought MonitorAbove Average TemperaturesFeels Like TemperatureOnshore Wind
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