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Raja Krishnamoorthi on China's Predatory Rare Earth Strategy and Alternatives

Forbes Breaking NewsDecember 7, 20255 min2,031 views
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China's Rare Earth Strategy

  • 🎯 China's CCP is accused of using a playbook similar to OPEC's oil embargo, but with a twist: a licensing system that requires customers to share sensitive information and intellectual property.
  • πŸ’‘ This strategy is exemplified by the pricing of NDPR oxide, essential for super magnets, where China slashed prices below its own production cost ($49/kg vs $50/kg) after discussing pricing.
  • ⚠️ The CCP has also targeted Samarium, used in critical weapon systems like the F-35 and Tomahawk missiles, selling it below production cost ($9.91/kg vs $11/kg) to eliminate competition.
  • πŸ“ˆ A memo from the Chinese Commerce Ministry explicitly states that transaction prices for magnet exports are often lower than production costs, confirming a strategy of predatory pricing.

The Impact of Predatory Pricing

  • πŸ“‰ The CCP's strategy of overproducing and underpricing aims to kill competitors and then weaponize the resulting monopoly in critical minerals.
  • πŸ’₯ This tactic leaves the US vulnerable to dependence and potential disruption, as seen with the 1973 oil embargo.

Developing Alternatives to Rare Earths

  • πŸ’‘ Mining and processing more rare earths in America is part of the solution, but developing alternatives is also crucial.
  • πŸš€ Rare earth-free magnets, such as those using iron nitride technology, offer a potential alternative that could be cheaper and stronger than traditional rare earth magnets.
  • πŸ”¬ This alternative technology was developed by Professor Jingpang Wong at a federally funded lab in the US, highlighting the importance of welcoming global talent, including from China, and supporting domestic research.
  • πŸ”‘ Breaking China's stranglehold requires an all-hands-on-deck approach, including innovation, talent, and reducing dependence on the CCP.
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Rare EarthsChinaCCPPredatory PricingNDPR OxideSamariumMagnetsOPECCritical MineralsIron NitrideRare Earth Free MagnetsIntellectual PropertySupply Chain
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