Perth Tolle on Investing in Emerging Markets Without Funding Dictators
Bloomberg PodcastsJanuary 15, 202617 min375 views
31 connectionsΒ·40 entities in this videoβThe Problem with Traditional Emerging Market Investing
- π― Traditional emerging market indexes are often weighted by market capitalization, leading to significant investments in autocracies like China, Russia, and Saudi Arabia.
- π‘ This approach funnels capital to authoritarian regimes, which is often not the intention of most investors.
- β οΈ Countries like China historically held large weights (e.g., 41% of MSCI EM index during COVID), despite their political and economic policies negatively impacting investment capital.
The Freedom Index Methodology
- π Perth Tolle created the Freedom 100 EM Index (ETF symbol FRDM) to offer a diversified emerging markets allocation that screens out authoritarian regimes and dictators.
- π§ The index uses quantitative metrics from the Human Freedom Index by the Cato Institute and Fraser Institute, which analyze 87 variables including civil, political, and economic freedoms.
- βοΈ Countries are weighted based on their composite freedom score; higher freedom scores result in higher index weights, while the worst offenders are excluded.
- π« An initial screen for market size and liquidity narrows the universe to about 18 eligible countries before applying freedom weighting.
Company Selection and Exclusion Criteria
- π Within the selected countries, the 10 largest and most liquid constituents are chosen for the index.
- π’ These companies are market capitalization-weighted within their country's freedom-weighted allocation.
- π« State-owned enterprises are excluded to maintain the focus on economic freedom and minimize government interference in private markets.
Performance and Rationale
- π The Freedom 100 EM index ETF has managed over $2 billion and has outperformed the S&P 500 over one, two, and three years, with a 67% return in 2025 compared to the S&P 500's nearly 18%.
- π¨π³ China's market performance is highlighted as a cautionary tale, with its markets essentially flat or significantly underperforming the S&P 500 over 30 years due to companies prioritizing state interests over client value.
- π·πΊ Russia has never been included in the FRDM index, providing a hedge against geopolitical risks like the invasion of Ukraine, which caused Russian stocks to plummet.
- π± The strategy focuses on countries with strong growth stories and greater freedom, believing these are the best places for future investment opportunities.
Investing in Freedom
- π‘ Investors seeking international or emerging market exposure without funding authoritarian regimes can consider funds based on political, civil, and economic freedom.
- π¬ Directing assets towards freedom-promoting countries is seen as a way to leverage privilege and power in the finance world for positive global impact.
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Whatβs Discussed
Emerging MarketsAuthoritarian RegimesFreedom IndexMarket Capitalization WeightingHuman Freedom IndexEconomic FreedomCivil LibertiesPolitical FreedomState-Owned EnterprisesChinaRussiaETFPortfolio ConstructionGeopolitical Risk
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