NYC Weather Forecast: Calm Before Storm Friday Night, Major Impacts Sunday & Monday

Overnight Forecast: Calm Before the Storm

• 🌙 Tonight, expect increasing clouds with an overnight low of 59 degrees.
• 🌃 This period is described as the calm before the storm, making Friday night suitable for outdoor activities.

Weekend Weather Outlook

• ☁️ Saturday will feature cloud cover and a chance of scattered showers due to a prefrontal trough.
• ⛈️ The main storm system is predicted to arrive during the second half of Sunday and the first half of Monday.

Storm Impacts and Scenarios

• 🌊 Coastal flooding is a significant concern, with warnings and watches issued for Long Island and Westchester County.
• 💨 Expect high winds, with potential for 60 mph gusts and gale warnings for New York Harbor, leading to 4-7 foot white caps.
• 🚢 Ferry services, such as the Fire Island ferry, may be disrupted or stopped due to these conditions.
• 🌧️ Widespread rain is likely regardless of the storm's exact track, impacting the area for an extended period.

Storm Track Uncertainty

• 🗺️ Models show two primary scenarios: the storm tracking closer to the coast or farther offshore.
• ⚠️ The closer track could lead to stronger inland winds and a longer rain event.
• 🏖️ An offshore track would concentrate stronger winds and impacts at the beaches, with a more southerly track inland.
• 📊 Despite model differences (European vs. GFS), both indicate significant weather impacts for the region.

Overall Storm Severity

• 📉 The forecasted barometric pressure suggests this will not be the strongest low-pressure system ever seen, meaning it may not be the worst nor'easter.
• 🗓️ Nevertheless, it is anticipated to be the storm of the weekend, with significant effects expected on Sunday and Monday.