NOAA Spring 2025 Outlook: Above-Average Temperatures and Dry Conditions Expected

Spring Weather Outlook

• 🌡️ Forecasters from NOAA predict above-average temperatures for much of the country heading into spring.
• 💧 The outlook indicates dry weather conditions are likely to persist across the Southwest and southern parts of the country.
• 📉 A shift from La Niña to an ENSO-neutral pattern means the dry weather is expected to continue through the spring season.

Drought Conditions

• ⚠️ Over 40% of the country is currently experiencing moderate to exceptional drought conditions.
• 🌲 The dry conditions have contributed to significant fire activity, particularly in areas like Oklahoma.
• 🏞️ A positive note is the reduced snowpack in some plains regions, which may lead to a reduced flooding threat for a good portion of the country.

Severe Weather Forecast

• 🌪️ The peak season for severe weather, including tornadoes, is expected in April and May.
• 🥶 The interaction between cold Arctic air and warm tropical air from the Gulf of Mexico fuels this severe weather.
• 📈 As spring progresses, the jet stream shifts northward, moving the focus of severe threats to the Great Plains, Ohio River Valley, and eventually the high plains.
• 🗓️ The risk for severe weather extends into early June, with the highest threat areas shifting further north.