NOAA Forecast: Above-Average 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted

2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast

• 🎯 NOAA predicts an above-average Atlantic hurricane season for 2025, with a 60% chance of this occurring.
• 📈 The forecast indicates a 30% chance of a near-normal season and only a 10% chance of a below-normal season.

Storm Predictions and Averages

• 🌀 Expected are 13 to 19 named storms, of which 6 to 10 are forecast to become hurricanes.
• 🌪️ Between 3 to 5 major hurricanes (Category 3 and above) are anticipated.
• 📊 These numbers are above the average of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes.

Factors Influencing the Forecast

• 🌡️ Warm sea surface temperatures are identified as the primary contributor to the above-average prediction.
• 💨 Low wind shear is expected, which is conducive to storm development as wind shear can tear storms apart.
• 🌍 African monsoons are also conducive to launching waves and storms that can develop over warm waters.
• ⚡ An ENSO-neutral situation is also contributing to the conditions favorable for an active season.

Preparedness and Safety

• ⚠️ The forecast emphasizes that only one storm is needed to cause significant impact, urging preparedness.
• 🛒 It's advised to gather necessary supplies like gas, plywood, and water while there are no lines.
• ⚠️ Every storm is different, regardless of category; larger and slower storms can cause more impact.
• 💡 Indirect fatalities can be as high as direct ones due to dangers like downed power lines and improper generator use.
• 🔌 Reminders are given to properly use generators outside and away from homes, and to avoid filling them while hot.
• ⚠️ Dangers after a storm, such as snakes, gators, and fire ants, are also significant.

Staying Informed

• 📢 It's crucial to get the latest forecast as it changes, and people tend to anchor on the first forecast they hear.
• 📻 Utilize resources like weather radio, wireless alerts, and websites such as hurricanes.gov and ready.gov for updates.
• 🌍 Everyone should prepare as if they are going to be hit.
• 🤝 NOAA and its partners are equipped with the best forecast models and are committed to improving services to ensure the country is prepared.