Skip to main content

NFL Week 13 Picks: Thanksgiving Games, Moneyline Debates, and Player Bets

Bussin' With The BoysNovember 26, 202553 min23,591 views
35 connections·40 entities in this video

Thanksgiving Week NFL Picks & Parlays

  • 🏈 The hosts kick off the show with a "Pass the Leg" parlay, featuring touchdown picks from Derrick Henry, Jahmyr Gibbs, Javonte Williams, and Ja'Marr Chase.
  • 📊 Clay Matthews is highlighted for his impressive 6-0 record in the league standings, while Delaney Walker has also been on a hot streak.

Rapid Fire Thanksgiving Game Predictions

  • 🦃 Lions vs. Packers: Clay and Taylor pick the Lions (-2.5), while Will and Delaney lean towards the Packers.
  • 🏈 Chiefs vs. Cowboys: Will and Taylor favor the Chiefs (-3), with Delaney picking the Cowboys (+3).
  • 🏥 Bengals vs. Ravens: With Joe Burrow's potential return, Will and Delaney take the Bengals (+7), while Clay and Taylor opt for the Ravens moneyline.

Betting Strategy Debate: Spreads vs. Moneyline

  • 📈 A significant portion of the discussion revolves around Clay Matthews' strategy of exclusively betting on moneylines, leading to a 6-0 record.
  • 🗣️ Will Compton argues for sticking to betting the traditional spreads as per the show's established format, emphasizing the 'process' over just winning.
  • 🤝 Despite the debate, Taylor Lewan eventually agrees to follow Clay's moneyline approach for the week, acknowledging its success.

Game-by-Game Picks and Analysis

  • 🐎 Texans vs. Colts: Opinions are split, with some favoring the Texans (+4.5) for chaos, while others back the Colts (-4.5) for a get-right game.
  • ✈️ Bills vs. Steelers: Most hosts lean towards the Bills (-3.5), seeing it as a must-win situation, though some predict an under on the total points.
  • 👑 Rams vs. Panthers: The Rams are heavily favored, with discussions around betting the spread (-10.5) versus the moneyline, and the use of alternate spreads on FanDuel.
  • 🏔️ Broncos vs. Commanders: Picks lean towards the Broncos, with some betting the spread (-6.5) and others the under (43.5), while acknowledging the return of key Broncos players.
  • 🏈 Giants vs. Patriots: Hosts are divided, with some favoring the Patriots (-7.5) due to the Giants' road struggles, while others predict an over on the total points.
  • 🐻 Bears vs. Eagles: A surprising number of hosts pick the Bears (+7), citing their improved play, turnovers, and Caleb Williams' recent performance, despite the Eagles' offensive potential.

Player Props and Parlay Strategies

  • 🎯 Several player props are discussed, including anytime touchdowns for players like Travis Etienne and George Kittle, and receptions for players like Cooper Kupp.
  • 💰 The hosts explore building multi-game parlays, with Clay Matthews' potential parlay of all his picks reaching over +8000 odds.
  • 🙏 The episode concludes with a Thanksgiving message, emphasizing gratitude and the importance of family dynamics, while reinforcing the fun and competitive nature of their betting discussions.
Knowledge graph40 entities · 35 connections

How they connect

An interactive map of every person, idea, and reference from this conversation. Hover to trace connections, click to explore.

Hover · drag to explore
40 entities
Chapters9 moments

Key Moments

Transcript199 segments

Full Transcript

Topics19 themes

What’s Discussed

NFL Week 13Thanksgiving GamesMoneyline FavoritesPass the Leg ParlayClay MatthewsTaylor LewanWill ComptonDelaney WalkerNFL BettingPoint SpreadsPlayer PropsParlaysFanDuel SportsbookAFC SouthNFC NorthAFC EastNFC SouthAFC WestNFC East
Smart Objects40 · 35 links
Companies· 22
Media· 1
People· 13
Product· 1
Concepts· 2
Location· 1