MLB 2023 Prop Bets: Unders, Overs, Locks, and Sprinkles
Talkin' BaseballMarch 29, 202355 min38,177 views
30 connections·40 entities in this video→2023 MLB Prop Bet Selections
- 🎯 The "Talkin Baseball" crew is back for their annual prop bet episode, making their picks for the upcoming MLB season.
- 📈 This year's picks are noted as being tougher to find compared to last year, with tighter odds offered by sportsbooks.
Unders for the Season
- 📉 Austin Riley's RBI total is set at 104.5, with the panel leaning towards the under, citing the difficulty of reaching such high RBI numbers and the presence of other strong hitters in the lineup.
- ⚾ Teoscar Hernandez's home run total is set at 27.5, with the panel predicting the under, considering his move to a new league and a less hitter-friendly ballpark in Seattle.
- 🤕 Byron Buxton's home run total of 30.5 is also targeted for the under, due to his injury history and the team's likely cautious approach to managing his playing time.
Overs for the Season
- 🚀 Trea Turner's home run total of 23.5 is projected for the over, fueled by his strong performance in the World Baseball Classic, a move to a hitter-friendly ballpark in Philadelphia, and a hot spring training.
- 🌟 Bo Bichette's hit total of 170.5 is favored for the over, with the panel highlighting his consistent performance and durability over the past two seasons.
- 🔗 Corey Seager's hit total of 146.5 is a strong pick for the over, with the new shift rules expected to significantly benefit his ground ball and hard-hit ball tendencies.
Sprinkle Bets and Locks
- 🌟 Robbie Ray's strikeout total is a sprinkle bet at +1900, with his new splitter pitch and strong spring performance suggesting a return to his strikeout-leading form.
- 🏆 Nestor Cortes Jr.'s pitcher wins are a sprinkle bet at +7000, banking on his durability, the Yankees' lineup, and his ability to manipulate the pitch clock.
- 🌟 Max Fried is a sprinkle bet at +1000 to lead the league in wins, with his consistent performance, ERA, and the Braves' strong offense making him a prime candidate.
- 🔒 The panel's locks include the Cardinals to win the division (-125) and the Seattle Mariners to make the playoffs (-150).
- 💎 Freddie Freeman's hit total over 171.5 is considered a very safe lock, given his consistent performance and durability over the past five seasons.
- 💨 Gerrit Cole's strikeout total over 234.5 is another lock, as he has consistently cleared this number when healthy since leaving Pittsburgh.
Player and Team Discussions
- 🎙️ Trevor Plouffe discusses the possibility of joining the Twins' broadcast booth for some West Coast games.
- 💔 The discussion touches on the struggles of players like Mike Trout and the perception of certain players, like Nestor Cortes Jr., based on their appearance.
- 💸 The segment also includes a brief discussion on career earnings and contracts in baseball.
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MLB Prop BetsBaseball SeasonOpening DayAustin RileyTeoscar HernandezByron BuxtonTrea TurnerBo BichetteCorey SeagerRobbie RayNestor Cortes Jr.Max FriedCardinalsSeattle MarinersFreddie FreemanGerrit ColeStrikeoutsHome RunsRBIsHitsPitcher WinsCy Young AwardWorld Baseball Classic
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