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Michael Shermer on Truth, Skepticism, and Navigating Misinformation

The Rubin ReportFebruary 1, 202646 min23,590 views
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The State of Truth and Trust

  • 📉 Truth and trust in institutions have significantly eroded, particularly following the COVID-19 pandemic and the politicization of science.
  • ⚠️ Policymakers and scientists often feel pressured to present definitive answers (100% certainty) rather than probabilistic, Bayesian assessments, leading to public distrust when recommendations change.
  • 🏛️ While independent journalism is a positive development, relying on a single source remains problematic; sampling multiple independent journalists is crucial.

Defining and Finding Truth

  • 💡 Truth (with a small 't') is defined as something confirmed to a degree that warrants provisional assent, acknowledging that one can change their mind based on new evidence.
  • 🧠 Bayesian reasoning is presented as a method for evaluating claims by assessing new evidence and updating prior beliefs.
  • 🗣️ The
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What’s Discussed

Michael ShermerTruthSkepticismMisinformationConspiracy TheoriesBayesian ReasoningPoliticization of ScienceTrust in InstitutionsAIDeepfakesUFOsUAPsHistorical RevisionismSkeptic Magazine
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