Jomboy Media Predicts 2023 MLB Trade Deadline Deals
Talkin' BaseballJuly 18, 202331 min72,575 views
28 connections·40 entities in this video→Cardinals Trade Predictions
- ⚾ Jordan Montgomery is predicted to be traded to the Baltimore Orioles for Drew Rom (ranked 29th in Orioles org) and versatile athlete Vavra.
- 💡 Jack Flaherty is projected to be traded to the Tampa Bay Rays for JJ Goss (24th ranked prospect) and Luis Pitino, or to the Los Angeles Dodgers for a package including pitcher Frasso and shortstops Luis Yaniel Diaz and Sean McLean.
- 💰 Paul De Jong is forecasted to be traded to the Dodgers for catcher/infielder Yennier Fernandez (19th ranked prospect) and pitcher Robleksi, clearing the way for the Cardinals to call up prospect Mason Nguyen.
Other Potential Trade Targets
- 💨 Cody Bellinger is discussed as a rental, with potential trade packages involving prospects ranked in the teens and twenties, possibly to teams like the Yankees.
- 🚀 Lucas Giolito is identified as a top rental pitcher available, likely to fetch a package of a prospect ranked 15th-25th in the acquiring team's system and a player off the 40-man roster.
- 🛠️ Lance Lynn is seen as a classic pre-deadline trade candidate, likely involving significant salary retention and a prospect package.
Player Valuations and Comps
- 📊 Trade Comps are primarily based on similar trades from the previous year, considering player age, service time, contract remaining, and statistical performance.
- 📈 Prospect Capital for rentals typically involves prospects ranked within the top 10-20 of a team's system, with some flexibility for players already on the 40-man roster or with accrued service time.
- 💸 Salary Retention is a key factor, with teams often needing to absorb a portion of a player's remaining contract to facilitate a deal.
Notable Mentions and Speculation
- 🌟 Shohei Ohtani is mentioned as a highly interesting trade candidate, with potential comps drawn from the Max Scherzer/Trea Turner trade, suggesting a return of multiple top prospects.
- 🤔 The New York Yankees are speculated as a potential, though unlikely, destination for a major acquisition like Ohtani, given their prospect depth.
- 📉 The Chicago White Sox are identified as a team that could trade many players due to their roster composition and need to restock their farm system.
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What’s Discussed
MLB Trade DeadlineJordan MontgomeryJack FlahertyCody BellingerLucas GiolitoLance LynnShohei OhtaniProspectsRentalsTeam NeedsTrade CompsSalary RetentionBaltimore OriolesLos Angeles DodgersChicago White Sox
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