John Herbst on Trump's Power to Stop Putin's War in Ukraine

US Policy of Strength Against Russia

• ⚡ A policy of strength, utilizing US military and economic advantages, could make it clear to Putin that he cannot advance further in Ukraine due to insufficient military means.
• ⚠️ This approach would also signal that Russia's economy would be significantly at risk, potentially leading to collapse.

Security Guarantees for Ukraine

• 🤝 Trump's consideration of NATO-like security guarantees for Ukraine is seen as a positive development, potentially offering a strong security framework.
• 🛡️ While general, the idea of such guarantees suggests the Trump team is engaging with the crucial element of ensuring Ukraine's security.
• 🇪🇺 The concept of European peacekeepers and arming Ukraine, backed by US logistical support, intelligence, and backing, could form the basis for sufficient security guarantees.

Trump's Approach to Peace

• ⚖️ Trump has consistently suggested a compromise requiring Ukraine to concede some territory, though not necessarily on a de facto basis.
• 🕊️ He aims for a peace that Putin will observe, which necessitates strong security for Ukraine and a willingness to blame Russia for failed agreements.
• 🎯 Trump fancies himself a peacemaker and could achieve a durable peace by using American power smartly, rather than pressuring the victim.

Zelenskyy's Meeting with Trump

• 🗣️ Zelenskyy's previous meeting with Trump was reportedly strained due to spending too long on essential points like distrusting Putin and needing security guarantees.
• ⏱️ A more concise approach, making key points in a few minutes, would have been more effective and avoided annoying Trump.
• 🤝 Meaningful guarantees from Trump are possible, as his team has entertained ideas that could secure Ukraine, but Russia's rejection of these is a hurdle.