Harry Enten: Two Key Voting Groups Abandoning Trump Post-Election

Trump's Consistent Approval Ratings

• 📉 President Trump's job approval rating has been consistently underwater, with negative net approval for 180 consecutive days since March 12th.
• 🌊 This prolonged period underwater is longer than half an NFL season, indicating a sustained lack of public approval.
• 📊 Polls from CBS and NBC news show Trump significantly underwater, with ratings at -12 and -14 points respectively.

Shifting Demographics: Young and Hispanic Voters

• 💡 Young voters (18-29) have seen a significant drop in approval, with a 32-point decrease since February, moving from +2 to -30 net approval.
• 📈 Hispanic voters also show a substantial decline, dropping 28 points from -6 to -34 net approval since February.
• ⚠️ These two groups, which previously exceeded expectations and supported Trump in the 2024 election, have significantly moved away from him.

Weakness on Key Issues

• 📌 Trump is underwater on all major issues, including crime, immigration, foreign policy, the economy, and trade.
• 📉 Approval ratings on these issues range from -2 to -17 points, with the economy being a particular concern at -14 points.
• ⚠️ Crime and immigration, historically strong issues for Trump, now also show negative approval ratings.

The Enduring Republican Base

• 🌟 The Republican base remains a strong point of support, with 91% approval, consistent with earlier polls.
• 🗣️ This strong base support, reinforced by conservative media, suggests Trump will likely continue his current strategies.
• 🎯 As long as this 91% approval holds, Trump is expected to maintain his current approach.

Economic Concerns and Future Outlook

• 💰 Economic issues are a significant concern, with reports of historic high auto loan defaults indicating financial strain.
• 🚗 When people struggle to pay for essentials like rent and food, car payments are often the first to slip, signaling broader economic distress.
• 🎓 A particular challenge is the situation for young college graduates who are entering a difficult job market, leading to widespread discontent.
• ⚖️ Both parties face the challenge of addressing the economic anxieties of voters, especially young people, which could significantly impact upcoming elections.