Gen. Jack Keane on Trump's Meetings with Netanyahu and Zelensky on Gaza, Ukraine Peace

Gaza Ceasefire and Hamas Negotiations

• 🎯 Phase one of the Gaza ceasefire deal is not over, as Hamas has not released the remaining deceased hostage and has reneged on promises to disarm and give up governance.
• 💡 Hamas is delaying phase two to rearm, reorganize, and recruit, aiming to regain the capacity to attack Israel.
• 🔑 Prime Minister Netanyahu will likely ask President Trump for discretion to disarm Hamas militarily if diplomatic efforts fail, alongside support for initiatives like the International Stabilization Force.

Tensions with Iran and Hezbollah

• ⚠️ The Lebanese government has failed to disarm Hezbollah, which continues to move military infrastructure south, prompting over a hundred Israeli attacks since November.
• ⚡ Iran is rebuilding its ballistic missile program, and intelligence suggests a clear intent to rebuild its nuclear program, necessitating vigilance and potential future action.

Ukraine-Russia Peace Talks

• 🤝 President Trump has engaged in intensive negotiations with Ukraine and Russia, showing patience and perseverance despite significant obstacles.
• 🗺️ A key thorny issue is potential land concessions, with Russia demanding Ukraine cede the Donbas, while Ukraine questions giving up territory they have defended.
• 🇺🇦 Ukraine is willing to make major concessions, such as moving forces back to create a demilitarized zone supervised internationally, but requires enduring security guarantees.
• 🚩 Putin's strategic objective remains to topple the Ukrainian government, and he is likely to push back against robust security guarantees involving ground forces and air surveillance.
• ⏳ If Putin reneges on a peace deal, the status quo is unsustainable, and maximum military and economic pressure should be applied to Putin, rather than returning to previous negotiation stalling tactics.