Gaza Ceasefire Violations and Ukraine Peace Deal Analysis with Scott Horton

Gaza Ceasefire Under Threat

• 🎯 Israel has resumed bombing and shooting civilians in Gaza, violating the terms of a recent ceasefire, with at least 28 people killed, including women and children.
• ⚠️ Israel claims strikes targeted Hamas infrastructure, but reports indicate civilian casualties, and they have not provided proof of Palestinian civilians firing on their soldiers.
• 📉 The death toll since the ceasefire is reported to be 300, leading to skepticism about the viability of the current ceasefire agreement.

Geopolitical Dynamics and Trump's Role

• ⚖️ The Israeli government may be acting with impunity, believing they can "ask for forgiveness rather than permission," potentially banking on Donald Trump's ego and desire to be seen as a peacemaker.
• 🇺🇸 Trump's involvement is seen as crucial; if the ceasefire collapses, blame could fall on him, potentially motivating him to intervene.
• 📈 There's a fear that Israel might launch a large-scale campaign in the West Bank before the next US election, forcing displacement of Palestinians.

US Military Aid and Constitutional Concerns

• 💰 Israel is seeking to extend a weapons deal with the US for 20 years, which is questioned based on the US Constitution's prohibition of appropriating military funds for more than two years.
• 🧐 This long-term foreign military aid is seen as contrary to constitutional principles and potentially enabling an "endless war" rather than peace.
• 🇵🇸 It's argued that without US support, Israel would be compelled to make peace and act more like a normal country.

Ukraine Peace Deal Prospects

• 🇷🇺 A potential peace deal between Russia and Ukraine, which would cede Russian-controlled territory, is viewed with pessimism.
• ⏳ Both Russia and Ukraine are seen as being in a position to continue fighting, with neither side willing to concede territory they currently hold.
• 🚫 Key sticking points for Russia include Ukraine's permanent neutrality and the end of NATO expansion, which are unlikely to be fully conceded by the West.

Scott Horton's Academy and Resources

• 📚 Scott Horton has launched the Scott Horton Academy, offering long-form courses on global conflicts, including the Israel-Palestine conflict and US military history.
• 🎓 The academy aims to provide in-depth research and truth about historical and current events, with contributions from various experts.
• 🌐 Resources like "Provoked: How Washington Started the Cold War with Russia" and "Enough Already" are recommended for further understanding.