Florida Weather: Invest 93L Brings Heavy Rain and Storms, Potential for Gulf Development

Tracking Invest 93L

• 🌀 Invest 93L has been designated by the hurricane center and is being watched for development, though it is currently disorganized.
• ✈️ A hurricane reconnaissance plane is scheduled to fly into the system this afternoon to assess its organization prior to landfall.
• 🌧️ Regardless of classification, the system is expected to bring significant rain, and it will not strengthen as it moves over land.

Potential for Gulf Development

• 🌊 After moving over land, the system will enter the Gulf of Mexico, where warm waters could allow for development into a tropical system over the next several days.
• ⚠️ There are obstacles to development, but the warm water presents an opportunity for strengthening.
• 📈 Computer models show a weak system initially, but its path over the Gulf offers a chance for it to strengthen into at least a tropical storm.

Track and Intensity Uncertainties

• 📊 Computer models are struggling to pinpoint an exact track due to the system's disorganization and lack of a well-defined center.
• 📉 A more northerly track over land will keep the storm weak and cause it to rain itself out, while a more southerly track over water could allow for development.
• ⚠️ Current indications suggest the system will be at best a tropical depression or tropical storm, but even these can cause significant issues due to heavy rain and slow movement.

Rainfall and Flooding Concerns

• 💧 The system is expected to bring 2 to 4 inches of rain over the next several days, with potential for additional flooding.
• ⚠️ Significant flooding occurred in eastern Hillsborough County yesterday, with some areas receiving 9 to 10 inches of rain.
• 🗓️ Excessive rain and localized flooding are possible into Wednesday and Thursday, with conditions expected to improve by Friday and dry out over the weekend.