DFW Weather Forecast: August 4, 2025 - Rainfall, Temperatures, and Model Accuracy

Recent Rainfall and Current Conditions

• 🌧️ Plano received over an inch of rain, while Denton saw almost an inch and a half in the last 24 hours.
• 💧 Arlington recorded just under two inches, and Benbrook over an inch of rainfall.
• 🌡️ Currently, it is 88 degrees outside with an east wind at 8 mph, and a heat index of 90 degrees in DFW.

Upcoming Weather Trends

• ☀️ A heat dome is currently controlling weather in the desert southwest and will slide east, suppressing rain chances for the remainder of the week.
• 📈 Temperatures are expected to rise, with highs potentially reaching the upper 90s through Sunday.
• 🚫 No triple-digit temperatures are forecasted for the next 14 days, but humidity will increase.

Long-Term Forecast and Model Concerns

• 📅 The forecast for the next seven days shows highs in the upper 90s, with normal temperatures expected by Sunday.
• 📊 There are slight chances of rain on August 14th and 15th, but otherwise, the outlook is for no excessive heat.
• ⚠️ The speaker expresses significant concern over the accuracy of computer weather models, calling it the worst timeframe in their 30+ years of experience.
• 📉 Potential reasons for model inaccuracy include budget cuts at NOAA and a lack of observational data, such as fewer weather balloons being launched.
• 🗣️ The poor performance of weather models is a major topic of discussion within the weather community.