DFW Severe Weather Outlook: Sunday Night Storms and Wind Threats

Sunday Night Severe Weather Timeline

• ⚠️ A WFAA weather alert day is in effect from Sunday 9:00 PM through Monday 3:00 AM for the Dallas-Fort Worth area.
• ⚡ The primary severe risk for DFW is between 9:00 PM and midnight, with lingering showers and storms after midnight.
• 💨 70+ mph wind gusts are expected on the leading edge of the thunderstorms, posing the main impact.
• 🧊 Up to golf ball-sized hail is possible, and while an isolated spin-up can't be ruled out, damaging winds are the primary concern.

Storm Development and Movement

• 📈 Thunderstorms are expected to erupt late Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening in the panhandle of Texas and western Oklahoma.
• ➡️ These storms will congeal into a complex and race to the southeast, reaching North Texas by Sunday evening.
• ⏰ By 9:00 PM, the leading edge will be near Bowie, Graham, and Decatur; by 10:00 PM, it will be in Denton County; and by 11:00 PM, it will be in the southeastern Metroplex.
• 🌧️ After midnight, the storms will transition to mainly heavy rain, showers, and thunderstorms with lightning.

Risk Levels and Areas

• 🎯 A level four moderate risk is forecast from Denton to Decatur, Gainesville, and Sherman, where the highest chance of 70+ mph winds exists.
• 📈 A level three enhanced risk covers Dallas and Tarrant counties, with most of North Texas included in this category.
• ⚠️ Damaging winds are identified as the number one concern for Sunday night.

Tonight and Week Ahead Forecast

• 🌃 Tonight, a level two slight risk exists for areas north of I-20, with isolated thunderstorms possible producing gusty winds or hail.
• ☀️ Most of Sunday will be dry and quiet, but hot and humid with heat index values exceeding 100 degrees, which adds fuel to the thunderstorms.
• 🗓️ The work week ahead (Monday through Friday) is expected to be unsettled with scattered showers and storms, but a lower severe threat compared to Sunday.