D'Andre Swift 2025 Fantasy Football: Breakout or Bust at Current ADP?

D'Andre Swift's Fantasy Football Value

• 🎯 D'Andre Swift's Average Draft Position (ADP) varies, ranging from RB27 on CBS to RB21 on Fantasy Pros, with Football Guys placing him at RB24 around the 64th overall pick.
• 📈 Swift has consistently finished as RB23 or RB24 per game over the last three seasons, never finishing lower than RB24 per game.
• ⚠️ Despite a career-low 3.8 yards per carry last year, the argument is made that this wasn't solely a Swift problem, as his teammate Roshan Johnson also struggled with efficiency.

Arguments Against Swift as a Bust

• 🚀 The case for Swift not being a bust highlights that he's often drafted near his floor and has never had a worse season than RB24 per game.
• 🤕 He has frequently left games early due to injury, suggesting his production could be higher if he stayed healthy for full seasons.
• ⚡ Swift is recognized as one of the most explosive running backs, with more carries of 35+ yards since entering the league than many other prominent players.

Concerns and Counterarguments

• 📉 Dave Richard argues Swift is unexciting, has been "basic" for four of the last five seasons, and has never been a consistent short-yardage or goal-line back.
• 🚫 Swift's conversion rate in short-yardage situations is considered poor, and he wasn't the primary goal-line back in Chicago last year.
• 🏃‍♂️ Even with Chicago not significantly improving their run game, there's an expectation that Swift might lose some carries, as seen in Ben Johnson's offenses, and he's unlikely to be a full-time workhorse.

Usage and Receiving Game Potential

• 🎯 Swift has never averaged more than 15 carries per game in a season, suggesting a ceiling of around 250-260 carries.
• 🏈 His receiving game is a key factor; he averaged five targets per game in Detroit in 2022, but this dropped in Chicago and Philadelphia.
• 💡 If Swift is utilized more in the passing game by Ben Johnson, his fantasy value could be significantly underrated, potentially impacting other Chicago pass-catchers.

Overall Draft Strategy

• 🌟 For Zero RB or Hero RB draft strategies, Swift is considered a favorite player due to his potential at his ADP.
• 🤔 However, for running back-heavy approaches, other players like Jaylen Hampton might be preferred over Swift.
• 📊 In Philadelphia in 2023, Swift had 14 carries inside the five and six carries at the one-yard line, but experienced some bad touchdown luck with Jaylen Hurts's goal-line pushes.