Atlantic Hurricane Season Begins: 2025 Outlook and Early Activity

Start of the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

• 🗓️ Today marks the official beginning of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
• ⚠️ Currently, there is no tropical cyclone activity expected in the Atlantic basin for the first seven days of June.

Saharan Dust's Impact on Tropical Activity

• 💨 Plumes of Saharan dust are traveling across the Atlantic from Africa, impacting tropical development.
• 🏜️ This dust creates a drier air layer, which is less conducive to the formation and strengthening of tropical systems, especially early in the season.
• 🏝️ The dust is expected to affect parts of the Caribbean, the Gulf of Mexico, and the Sunshine State in the coming days.

2025 Hurricane Season Forecasts

• 🌡️ Forecasts indicate an above-average hurricane season due to warm sea surface temperatures and a potential active West African monsoon.
• 📊 An average season has 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes; this season's forecasts range from 13 to 19 named storms and 6 to 10 hurricanes.
• 🌊 Sea surface temperatures are warming rapidly, with local waters reaching the low to mid-80s, which is the threshold for tropical system formation.

Early Season Storm Activity and Names

• 📈 While the main development region's waters are not as warm as last year, there's a 60% chance of an above-normal season.
• 🌊 The East Pacific has already seen its first named storm, Alvin.
• 📅 Historically, the first named storm typically forms around June 20th, but early season storms have occurred in late May in previous years.
• 📝 The first name on the 2025 list for the Atlantic season is Andrea.