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Aaron Judge vs. Cal Raleigh MVP Debate & MLB Playoff Scenarios

[HPP] Aaron JudgeOctober 21, 202545 min
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Aaron Judge vs. Cal Raleigh MVP Race

  • πŸ’‘ The central debate revolves around Aaron Judge and Cal Raleigh for the MVP award, with media leaning towards Raleigh due to his historic 60 home runs as a catcher.
  • 🎯 While Raleigh's season is phenomenal, Judge's numbers are described as "video game numbers", including a .330 batting average and over 50 home runs, surpassing Raleigh in every category except RBIs and home runs.
  • πŸ”‘ The speaker argues that Judge's overall season is "one of the great years that anybody has ever had", with superior metrics like OPS+ and FanGraphs WAR, making him the more valuable player.
  • πŸ“Œ Both players are considered invaluable to their respective teams, with the Yankees struggling significantly without Judge, and the Mariners relying heavily on Raleigh.

Inconsistent MVP Voting Criteria

  • ⚠️ The speaker criticizes the inconsistency of MVP voters, recalling 2017 when Judge's 52 rookie home runs were overlooked for Altuve's batting average, while now home runs seem to trump other stats for Raleigh.
  • 🧠 The argument is made that voters often emphasize different aspects (e.g., batting average vs. home runs) depending on the year, leading to a lack of clear standards.
  • βš–οΈ There's concern that the vote could be manipulated by "gamesmanship", where writers might intentionally rank a candidate lower (e.g., Judge at third) to influence the outcome.

Yankees Playoff Push

  • πŸš€ The Yankees are tied with Toronto for the American League East going into the final weekend, needing a sweep against the Orioles to win the division.
  • ⚾ The Orioles are sending out three strong pitchers, including Trevor Rogers (9-2, 1.35 ERA), making the Yankees' sweep a challenging task.
  • βœ… The speaker agrees with Aaron Boone that a playoff bye is preferable to playing a wild card series to "stay sharp," emphasizing that winning the division is the primary goal.
  • 🏟️ The Yankees have clinched home-field advantage if they enter the playoffs as a wild card, which is a minor benefit but not as desired as winning the division.

Mets Playoff Challenges

  • πŸ“‰ The Mets are "hanging on by a thread" in the playoff race, relying on young, inexperienced pitchers like Mlan, Tong, and Sprrot, who are facing immense pressure.
  • ❌ The team's $340 million payroll is not built to rely on rookies in critical playoff games, especially against top opponents like Shohei Ohtani and the Dodgers.
  • πŸ“Š The Mets face a tough series against the Marlins, who are 13.5 games better than the Mets since June 13th and would love to knock them out.
  • πŸ“‰ The Mets also have tiebreaker issues against the Reds and Diamondbacks due to their divisional record, making their path to the playoffs precarious.

The Broadcaster Hall of Fame

  • πŸŽ™οΈ Michael Kay discusses the criteria for the Broadcaster Hall of Fame, noting that it's a "very political thing" and often favors radio broadcasters over television personalities.
  • πŸ† He expresses humility, stating he doesn't believe he deserves to be in the Hall of Fame, despite his 34-year career and passion for his work.
  • πŸ—£οΈ A caller highlights Judge's 36-37 intentional walks as a key indicator of his value, showing how opposing teams fear his hitting and choose to pitch around him.
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Transcript167 segments

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Topics15 themes

What’s Discussed

Aaron JudgeCal RaleighMLB MVP RaceNew York YankeesNew York MetsMLB PlayoffsBaseball StatisticsOPS+WAR (Wins Above Replacement)Home RunsBatting AverageIntentional WalksBroadcaster Hall of FamePlayoff ByeMLB Tiebreakers
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PeopleΒ· 11
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