2026 California Gubernatorial Race: Porter Leads After Harris Exits, Hilton Emerges

New Polls for California Governor Race

• 📊 A new Emerson poll reveals shifts in the 2026 California gubernatorial race following Kamala Harris's announcement that she will not enter the contest.
• 💡 The race was previously seen as Harris's to lose, with her polling at 31% in April, but her withdrawal has significantly altered the landscape.

Katie Porter Takes the Lead

• 🎯 Katie Porter is now leading the race with 18% of the vote, a substantial increase from her previous 8% in April.
• 🧠 Notably, Porter is performing strongly among the most educated voters, earning 35% of the vote from those with an advanced degree beyond a bachelor's.

Steve Hilton's Emergence

• 🚀 Republican Steve Hilton, a relative newcomer, has entered the race and secured 12% of the vote, with 30% of Republican voters supporting him.
• 📈 Hilton is expected to see his support consolidate significantly within the Republican party.

Democratic Field and Undecided Voters

• 📉 Other prominent Democrats, such as Gavin Newsom and Alex Padilla, are not polling above 10%, leaving a significant opening for other candidates.
• ❓ A large portion of voters, 38%, remain undecided, presenting a key opportunity for candidates to gain traction.

Race Competitiveness and Outlook

• ⚖️ The poll suggests that while the race will be competitive among Democrats, a Republican victory is unlikely given the Democratic party's over 20-point lead in California.
• 🔑 The next 10 months will be crucial as campaigns ramp up, targeting undecided voters and solidifying their positions.