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2021 Fantasy Football Running Back Tiers: Talent, Touches, and Draft Strategy

Fantasy Football TodayJuly 12, 20211h 1min10,817 views
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Running Back Tiers and Drop-off Points

  • 🎯 The discussion identifies the first significant drop-off in running back value to occur around Tier 5, with four solid tiers preceding it.
  • πŸ’‘ Tiers are categorized based on potential touchdown output (11-15 TDs) and overall fantasy relevance.
  • πŸ“Š A distinction is made between PPR (points per reception) and non-PPR formats, influencing player rankings.

Tier 1 & 2 Running Backs

  • πŸ‘‘ Tier 1 in PPR includes Christian McCaffrey, Dalvin Cook, Alvin Kamara, Derrick Henry, Jonathan Taylor, Saquon Barkley, Aaron Jones, Ezekiel Elliott, and Austin Ekeler.
  • πŸ₯ˆ Tier 2 in PPR features Nick Chubb, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, J.K. Dobbins, Joe Mixon, David Montgomery, and D'Andre Swift.
  • πŸ€” A debate arises regarding Joe Mixon's placement, with Heath placing him in Tier 1 due to the Bengals' potential scoring and lack of competition, while Dave ranks him in Tier 2, citing concerns about workload and schedule.
  • πŸƒβ€β™‚οΈ Chris Carson is debated for Tier 2, with Heath advocating for his consistent high-end RB2 production, while Dave expresses concerns about wear-and-tear and declining carries.

Tiers 3 & 4 Running Backs

  • βš™οΈ Tier 3 in PPR (Dave's ranking) includes CEH, J.K. Dobbins, David Montgomery, and Miles Sanders.
  • πŸ“ˆ Tier 3 in PPR (Heath's ranking) includes Miles Sanders, Josh Jacobs, David Montgomery, Mike Davis, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, J.K. Dobbins, and Miles Gaskin.
  • 🧐 The distinction between these tiers hinges on upside potential, with players like Edwards-Helaire and Dobbins seen as having higher ceilings than Gaskin, Jacobs, and Davis.
  • 🏈 D'Andre Swift is favored over Edwards-Helaire and Dobbins in PPR due to his pass-catching upside, compared to Austin Ekeler's role.

Later Tiers and Lottery Tickets

  • 🎟️ Tier 4 includes players like Carson, Gaskin, ETN, Jacobs, Mike Davis, and Kareem Hunt, representing the last tier before a significant drop-off.
  • πŸš€ Tier 5 features Michael Carter, Raheem Mostert, James Robinson, Javonte Williams, Chase Edmonds, and Leonard Fournette, with the understanding that injuries or changes in situation could elevate their value.
  • ❓ Late-round
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What’s Discussed

Fantasy FootballRunning Back TiersPPR RankingsNon-PPR RankingsDraft StrategyPlayer ProjectionsAverage Draft Position (ADP)Scott Fish BowlJoe MixonChris CarsonD'Andre SwiftClyde Edwards-HelaireJ.K. DobbinsMike DavisMiles Gaskin
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