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MLB Postseason Predictions, Shohei Ohtani's Playoff Stats & Catcher Injuries

Talkin' BaseballOctober 1, 202425 min21,471 views
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Playoff Predictions Using Scoring Tendencies

  • 🎯 A "sophisticated model" (jokingly referred to) uses offensive scoring tendency stats like scoring first percentage, scoring in three innings, big innings, runs per game, and answer-back innings to predict playoff outcomes.
  • 💡 The Diamondbacks ranked highest offensively by this model, followed by the Yankees, Dodgers, Orioles, Phillies, and Brewers, despite the Diamondbacks not making the postseason.
  • ⚾ On the pitching side, stats like avoiding opponent first runs, preventing opponent big innings, runs allowed per game, and shutdown innings were analyzed, with the Braves, Royals, Tigers, and Yankees ranking highly.
  • 🧠 The "brain" picks Astros, Orioles, and Padres, while the "algorithm" selects Astros, Royals, and Braves, with both agreeing on the Brewers.

Shohei Ohtani's Postseason Performance

  • 🌟 Shohei Ohtani is making his MLB postseason debut, with his past playoff performance in Japan's NPB and the World Baseball Classic being reviewed.
  • 🇯🇵 In NPB playoffs, Ohtani's batting average was 11 for 48 (.229) with 3 RBIs and 15 strikeouts across various series.
  • 🏆 During the World Baseball Classic, Ohtani excelled, hitting .435 as a batter and performing well as a pitcher, though the quality of play is noted as less than MLB.
  • ✨ Despite past playoff numbers, the speaker believes Ohtani, as the current best player in the world, will perform exceptionally well.

Catcher Durability and Injury Data

  • 🤕 Inside Edge database stats reveal which catchers take the most physical punishment, focusing on catcher mask hits and other ball-to-body impacts.
  • 🤕 Will Smith leads with 32 hits to the mask, followed by Austin Wells (27) and Willson Contreras (25).
  • 🦵 Analyzing other ball-to-body contact (excluding mild instances), Wong leads in hits to the body, with multiple instances of foul tips to the knees, shoulders, and feet observed across various players.
  • 💔 The data highlights the brutal physical toll catchers endure throughout a season.
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What’s Discussed

MLB PostseasonPlayoff PredictionsBaseball StatsScoring TendenciesShohei OhtaniWorld Baseball ClassicNPBCatcher InjuriesInside EdgeFoul TipsBaseball Analytics
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