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MLB Offseason Buy or Sell: Soto, Sasaki, Adames, Bregman, and More

Talkin' BaseballNovember 18, 20241h 8min38,727 views
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Offseason Outlook and Holiday Deals

  • πŸ—“οΈ The MLB offseason is in a lull before Thanksgiving, with major free agent signings expected to pick up after the holiday.
  • πŸ’° Agents might use the holidays to their advantage, offering lucrative deals to players to make their Christmas special.
  • ⚾ Non-tender decisions are looming, which will clarify team plans and potentially impact mid-tier free agents.

Free Agent Market Movers: Soto and Sasaki

  • πŸ“‰ The idea that Juan Soto and Roki Sasaki will hold up the free agent market is being sold, with expectations that Soto's potential $660 million price tag will price out many teams.
  • ⚾ Sasaki's impact on team budgets is considered minimal, as his contract is not expected to be a major financial hurdle.
  • πŸ€” Rumors and speculation surround Sasaki's destination, with reports suggesting he might prefer a small market or have injury concerns.

Juan Soto's New York Future

  • πŸ“ˆ One host is buying the idea that Juan Soto will stay in New York, specifically with the Yankees, citing his impact on the team's dynamic and their need to build a young core.
  • πŸ’Έ The other host is selling this, believing the Yankees may not match a $660 million offer, suggesting the Mets are a more likely New York destination if Soto stays.
  • πŸ’° The potential for deferred money in Soto's contract is discussed, drawing parallels to Shohei Ohtani's deal.

Positional Changes and Player Value

  • ⚾ Buy or sell on Willy Adames or Alex Bregman changing positions by the 2025 season: Both hosts are selling, believing they will remain at their current positions (shortstop and third base, respectively).
  • πŸ’Ž Bregman's value as a Gold Glove third baseman is highlighted, though his offensive prowess might make him a strong second baseman.
  • πŸƒβ€β™‚οΈ Adames's value is tied to his shortstop position, and a move might decrease his perceived value.

Qualifying Offer Decisions

  • ❓ The decision for players to accept or decline the $21.1 million qualifying offer is a key offseason topic.
  • 🀝 Reports suggest Nick Martinez is likely to accept, while Luis Severino and Nick Pivetta are unlikely to, preferring to seek multi-year deals.
  • 🧘 Players may choose the security of a long-term deal over the one-year qualifying offer, especially after up-and-down careers.

Team Signings: Giants and Blue Jays

  • πŸ’₯ Buy or sell on the Giants and Blue Jays making significant free agent splashes: Both hosts are buying, expecting both teams to be active.
  • πŸŒ‰ The Giants are expected to make impact signings to improve their rotation and lineup, despite a tough division.
  • 🍁 The Blue Jays, with potential decisions on Vlad Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette, are also expected to spend to remain competitive.

Chicago Cubs' Offseason Strategy

  • πŸ€” Buy or sell on the Cubs being more active as sellers than buyers: Both hosts are selling this notion, believing the Cubs need to add talent, particularly to their rotation.
  • 🎯 The idea of the Cubs acquiring a bonafide ace like Corbin Burns is discussed as a move that would significantly raise expectations.
  • ⚾ The NL Central is seen as a wide-open division, making it crucial for the Cubs to be buyers.

Seattle Mariners' Pitching Staff

  • ⚾ Buy or sell on the Mariners trading a starting pitcher: One host is buying, arguing they need to trade from their strength (pitching) to address their offensive weaknesses.
  • πŸ“Š The Mariners' elite pitching stats are contrasted with their poor hitting rankings, highlighting the need for offensive reinforcements.
  • 🀝 The other host is selling, believing the front office will be hesitant to break up their pitching staff.

Awards Season and Rookie of the Year

  • πŸ† The MVP and Cy Young awards are considered largely decided, with Shohei Ohtani and Aaron Judge favored for MVP, and Gerrit Cole and Gerrit Cole for Cy Young.
  • 🌟 The NL Rookie of the Year race is seen as the most intriguing, with Paul Skenes and Jackson Merrill as top contenders.
  • πŸ… One host believes Skenes will win, while the other predicts Merrill will shock the world, highlighting the impact of team success and individual performance.
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What’s Discussed

MLB OffseasonFree AgencyJuan SotoRoki SasakiQualifying OfferWilly AdamesAlex BregmanSan Francisco GiantsToronto Blue JaysChicago CubsSeattle MarinersRookie of the YearPaul SkenesJackson MerrillCy Young Award
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