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MLB Attendance Surges: Analyzing OPS and 'Nothing Games'

Talkin' BaseballSeptember 5, 202330 min13,002 views
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MLB Attendance Sees Significant Growth

  • MLB attendance is on track for its biggest increase since 1998, with a 9.2% rise through August 14th.
  • 📈 23 out of 30 MLB clubs are experiencing year-over-year attendance gains, with only very slight decreases for a few teams.
  • 🚀 The Philadelphia Phillies lead in attendance growth, with over 10,000 more fans per game, attributed to recent playoff success and beloved players like Bryce Harper.
  • 🌟 Other teams with significant gains include the Cleveland Guardians, Texas Rangers, Cincinnati Reds, and Baltimore Orioles, often linked to improved performance and competitiveness.
  • ⏱️ While rule changes like a faster game pace are considered a factor, the primary driver for increased attendance appears to be winning baseball and teams becoming more competitive.
  • 🏟️ A notable statistic: on Saturday, August 5th, all 15 MLB games surpassed 30,000 attendance, with the majority exceeding 35,000, a threshold not seen this frequently since 2004.

Deconstructing OPS and Player Performance

  • 💡 OPS (On-Base Percentage + Slugging) is presented as a casual barometer for offensive output, combining a player's ability to get on base with their power hitting.
  • ⚠️ A key theory explored is the value of OPS when it's heavily carried by slugging alone, questioning its significance if batting average or on-base percentage is below average.
  • 📊 Players like Jake Burger, Cal Raleigh, and Spencer Torkelson are highlighted as examples where slugging significantly boosts their OPS, despite below-average batting average and on-base percentages.
  • 📉 The analysis also delves into "nothing games" – games where a player has three or more plate appearances but achieves zero runs, hits, walks, or times on base (excluding errors or sacrifice flies).
  • 🧐 Freddie Freeman is noted for his exceptionally low rate of "nothing games" (6.72%) across a large number of games played, highlighting his consistent offensive contribution.
  • 🎯 Orlando Arcia is discussed for having a high number of "nothing games" (27% of his games played) despite not being below average in his overall slash line, prompting a closer look at his game logs.
  • 🛡️ "Nothing games" are more prevalent among defensive-first positions like catcher, shortstop, and center fielder, suggesting a potential trade-off between offensive consistency and defensive value.
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What’s Discussed

MLB AttendanceBaseball AnalyticsOPSOn-Base PercentageSlugging PercentageNothing GamesPlayer PerformancePhiladelphia PhilliesCleveland GuardiansCincinnati RedsBaltimore OriolesTexas RangersBaseball RulesCompetitive Baseball
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