Security Expert Jim Walsh on FAA Warning, Venezuela, and Mexico Cartels

FAA Warning and Potential Military Action

• ✈️ An FAA warning has been issued for airspace over the Eastern Pacific, described as a cautionary measure rather than a restriction.
• ⚠️ This warning is in effect for two months and suggests pilots should be watchful, but it does not signify serious military engagement.
• 🌎 The areas covered by the warning are unlikely to involve Venezuela, as many US naval assets have been withdrawn from its coast.
• 🗺️ The focus may be shifting towards Central America and Mexico, potentially related to President's comments about shifting attacks against drug smugglers from sea to land.

Potential Strikes Against Mexican Cartels

• 💥 The FAA warning could be a prelude to potential strikes against cartels in Mexico, as hinted by the President.
• 🇲🇽 Such actions would involve bombing or using missiles against countries in the region, which would likely be unwelcome by those nations.
• 📈 The US would need to move more military assets and show other signs if such actions were to occur.

Venezuelan Opposition and US Relations

• 🤝 Maria Karina Machado, the exiled opposition leader of Venezuela, is trying to stay on good terms with the US President to secure a future role in Venezuela.
• 🇺🇸 The US administration is currently working directly with the incumbent Venezuelan government to prevent the country from falling apart.
• 🔄 This creates a transactional relationship, with potential for shifts based on future actions by either Venezuela or the US.

Venezuelan Vice President's Role

• 🕵️‍♀️ There is speculation that the Venezuelan Vice President may have been involved in drug smuggling operations and bypassing US sanctions.
• ⚖️ However, some security colleagues suggest she may have also been involved in negotiations with the US to facilitate a stable transition, being characterized as pragmatic.
• ❓ This creates an odd tension for the opposition, who feel left out of the process.