New York Weather: Warmup Thursday, Potential Weekend Snow & Dangerous Cold

Thursday Warmup and Reprieve

• ☀️ Tomorrow is the pick of the week, with temperatures reaching 44-45 degrees in New York City, 5 degrees above average.
• 🌡️ Overnight lows will be around 32 degrees in the city, with some areas like Tom's River potentially cracking 50 degrees.
• ❄️ A warm front moving through tonight could bring a little snowflake action, but it's the arctic front that sets up the subsequent cold.

Weekend Storm Potential and Uncertainty

• 🌨️ A significant winter storm is brewing, with models suggesting it could bring sizable snow.
• ⚠️ Confidence levels are currently low as the storm has not yet formed; certainty is not possible until Friday when observational data becomes available.
• 📊 The European model suggests around 13.9 inches, while the GFS model indicates 9.4 inches, with numbers trending down slightly and potential for mixing.
• 📍 Models show the storm system developing around the Texas panhandle on Friday and moving into the area over the weekend.

Weekend Snow and Cold Forecast

• 📅 The storm is expected to impact the area from Sunday into Monday.
• ❄️ The rain/snow line is projected to be down around Cape May by Sunday morning and moving north, potentially reaching Staten Island and Monmouth County by Sunday afternoon.
• 🌧️ Farther south may see rain, while New York City could hold on to more steady snow.
• 🥶 Following the storm, dangerously cold arctic air will take over for the rest of the month, with high temperatures struggling to get above freezing.
• ⚠️ First Alert days are issued for both Saturday and Sunday due to the dangerous cold, with highs in the 18-19 degree range and some areas never getting out of the 20s.